Impact and integration projects

People working to bring together the results and findings from individual SHEAR projects

The aim of these projects is to bring together the results and findings from individual SHEAR projects, developing more robust evidence and information for users of the new science, data and tools that the SHEAR programme is generating. These projects will directly improve risk assessment and support policy development in the management of natural hazards.

Multihazard toolkit for developing early warning information for decision makers

SHEAR partners

  • Practical Action

SHEAR projects

Project summary

This project will develop a holistic guide to developing and implementing early warning and forecast information that suits the needs of decision makers. This will be across a range of natural hazard types, drawing from SHEAR learning across projects including LANDSLIP and FATHUM. The guide will be aimed at producers of forecast information to: highlight the need (and common pitfalls) of developing forecast information for different stakeholders.

Capacity building for GHA NHMSs staff to operationalise new forecast products

SHEAR partners

  • ICPAC
  • UK Met Office
  • Kenya Meteorological Department
  • Kenya Red Cross Society
  • Sussex University
  • Oxford University
  • Reading University

SHEAR projects

Project summary

This project will operationalise new forecast products and services into national meteorological services by integrating new products into existing operational procedures. Despite the effort of the individual projects to transfer knowledge and methodologies to African forecasters, this is usually limited to the personnel that is involved directly with the project, hence there is not a lot of cross learning and institutionalisation. This initiative will collate and harmonise different products and methodologies from different projects in the GHA and offer training to many NMHSs forecasters, as well as developing manuals for ongoing use.

Learning to co-produce

SHEAR partners

  • Ugandan Meteorological Agency
  • ANACIM
  • ACMAD
  • Ghana Meteorological Agency
  • NiMet
  • King's College London

SHEAR projects

Project summary

This project will develop a series of practical modules to strengthen decision makers' understanding and appropriate use of probabilistic climate information, bringing together experiences from across the SHEAR programme (including ForPAc, NFLICS, FATHUM) and building on existing manuals and resources and linking with ongoing complementary initiatives, including WISER, and African SWIFT, to support integration of modules within curricula for meteorologists and climate scientists within key African research institutions in East and West Africa.

Impact-based forecasting: gaining user insights into operational impact-based forecasting

SHEAR partners

  • British Geological Survey
  • UK Met Office/li>
  • Practical Action
  • Red Cross Climate Office
  • Reading University

SHEAR projects

Project summary

This project aims to bring together knowledge and experience from across the SHEAR programme, and to gain user insights into operational elements of impact-based forecasting (IBF) of hydrometeorological hazards (including landslides and noting that Impact based Forecasting is one of the elements of borecast-based early action) to identify the needs, challenges and gaps that could hinder effective pull-through of research into operational implantation of IBF.

Conceptual paradigm for the implementation of an operational landslide early warning systems

SHEAR partners

  • CNR (National Research Council of Italy)
  • British Geological Survey
  • Practical Action

SHEAR projects

Project summary

This project brings together technical knowledge across SHEAR on landslide early warning, complementing the practitioner-focused landslide guide being developed by the knowledge brokering team, in order to develop a technical guide on landslide early warning, bringing together technical expertise across and beyond SHEAR.

Forecast-based early action: bringing learning from Africa to Asia

SHEAR partners

  • Red Cross Climate Centre
  • Practical Action

SHEAR projects

Project summary

SHEAR projects have produced a wealth of knowledge and tools in the area of forecast-based action (FbA) that can contribute to enhancing FbA system in other context. Sharing those lessons across continents will multiply the impact of SHEAR. To achieve this, this project will synthesise current SHEAR learning and knowledge on FbA.

Evaluating the potential of mobile phones for the crowdsourcing of data and hazard communication for disaster management within SHEAR

SHEAR partners

  • Practical Action
  • Imperial College London
  • British Geological Survey

SHEAR projects

Project summary

This project will bring together learning from across SHEAR to generate an established understanding of how mobile phones (including use of apps) are being used in developing and communicating risk information and early warning systems across SHEAR to support disaster management.

Improving confidence in, and uptake of, forecast-based action

SHEAR partners

  • UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
  • >University of Oxford

SHEAR projects

Project summary

Across SHEAR, many of the co-developed solutions and decision-making tools rely on hydrometeorological forecasts and products as a fundamental component. To support the uptake and appropriate use of these solutions, evidence of their strengths and weaknesses is required. In addition to understanding the performance of the under-pinning forecasts, it is important to also consider what this means in terms of the in-country decision-making tools, and how this information can best be communicated.

However, the scientific challenges of this 'forecast verification' of extreme events, often in areas with limited observation records, are varied and numerous, as are the challenges in translating this information into a form appropriate and relevant to the forecast users, stakeholders and decision-makers. This work will review the approaches in this area would allow for consolidation and integration across the SHEAR program, with cross-project learning and collaboration helping to refine techniques and maximise impact.

High resolution inundation forecasts for improved Preparedness Action (HiPAc)

SHEAR partners

SHEAR projects

Project summary

Humanitarian agencies require precise information on flooding impacts in order to act with confidence in advance of flood events. This integration project will address a need for flood inundation forecasts by co-producing high-resolution flood hazard and risk mapping data and prototype probabilistic inundation forecasts for the ForPAc study region of the Nzoia basin of Western Kenya.

Learning from cyclones Idai and Kenneth: presenting and using flood forecast information to support humanitarian response

SHEAR partners

SHEAR projects

Project summary

This project builds on the successful ‘operational’ partnership that produced flood hazard and exposure briefings to support humanitarian activities in Mozambique during Cyclone Idai in March 2019 and Cyclone Kenneth in April/May 2019. It will develop best practice guidelines for the co-production and communication of impact based flood forecasts to support humanitarian decision making.